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2024-12-14 11:56:49

CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.Beijing issued a new policy to reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. The "Implementation Plan for Effectively Reducing the Logistics Cost of the Whole Society in Beijing" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan") released on the 13th proposed that Beijing would improve its cargo transportation capacity and vigorously develop air freight. Strengthen the construction of Beijing airport-type national logistics hub, actively expand international routes, and constantly improve the aviation network layout of "all cargo aircraft+passenger aircraft belly cabin". The plan puts forward 16 measures around five key areas, such as improving cargo transportation capacity, improving logistics infrastructure network, improving urban distribution service, strengthening enterprise service and management, and promoting innovation-driven development. (Zhongxin. com)Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)


Government of Sri Lanka: The final result of the bond exchange is expected to be announced on December 16th.U.S. stocks of semiconductor ETFs rose by 2.57%, global technology stock index ETFs and technology industry ETFs rose by over 1%, while energy industry ETFs fell by over 0.3%.Sources: Leaders of Germany, France, Poland, NATO and other countries will meet in Brussels on Wednesday to discuss Ukraine. Zelensky will also attend the Ukrainian meeting.


Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)The Baltic Sea Index fell for the fourth consecutive week due to the drop in freight rates of all ship sectors. According to the latest data, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reported 1051 points on December 13, 2024, the lowest level since July 25, 2023, down 0.38% from the previous value, and fell for the fourth consecutive day. Among them, Panama-type freight index (BPI) reported 995 points, down 2.55% from the previous value, Cape-type freight index (BCI) reported 1263 points, up 0.88%, and super handy ship freight index (BSI) reported 959 points, down 0.21%. The Baltic Exchange's Dry Bulk Shipping Index, which is used to measure the freight of ships transporting dry bulk goods, fell for the fourth week in a row on Friday, because all ship sectors fell this week. The index, which takes into account the freight rates of Capesize, Panamax and Super Handy ships, fell 4 points to 1,051 points on Friday, the lowest level since the end of July 2023. The index fell by about 10% this week. Panama shipping freight index fell 26 points to 995 points. The index also fell this week. Panama-type ships usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain cargo, and their average daily income dropped by $231 to $8,955. Although the freight index of Cape ships rose by 11 points to 1,263 points on Friday, it still fell for the fourth consecutive week. Cape ships usually transport 150 thousand tons of goods, such as iron ore and coal, and their average daily income has increased by 92 dollars to 10,474 dollars. Iron ore futures fell, but closed higher this week. Among small vessels, the freight index of super handy vessels dropped by 2 points to 959 points, which also recorded a loss in Zhou Du.Mckinsey agreed to pay $650 million to settle the criminal investigation of opioids by the U.S. Department of Justice. Mckinsey submitted a five-year deferred prosecution agreement to the federal court in Abingdon, Virginia, and agreed to pay $650 million to settle the criminal investigation of the U.S. Department of Justice on its work in guiding the opioid manufacturer Purdue Pharmaceutical to increase sales. According to court documents, Martin Elling, a former senior partner of McKinsey, agreed to plead guilty to obstruction of justice because he destroyed McKinsey's consulting records for Purdue Pharmaceutical. He will plead guilty on January 10th next year. Mckinsey has previously reached various settlement agreements totaling nearly $1 billion. The company had previously faced lawsuits in several States in the United States, and was accused of providing sales analysis and marketing advice to pharmaceutical companies such as Purdue Pharmaceutical and Johnson & Johnson, which contributed to the popularity of opioids.

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